Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 361.489232 410.545420 465.196683 530.844889 607.888996 695.834642 804.385165
2025-09-07 288.795112 352.767167 430.597531 533.264063 666.628676 836.087209 1071.066199
2025-09-14 244.345183 312.338771 399.792667 522.365820 692.711491 925.626721 1276.291831
2025-09-21 216.245528 286.697840 381.495575 521.187021 726.680811 1025.945209 1510.413792
2025-09-28 188.442588 257.051273 352.698360 499.383838 725.335243 1071.954135 1668.458536
2025-10-05 177.987526 249.871935 353.762263 519.781675 788.124677 1223.157455 2023.140542
2025-10-12 170.104564 245.185876 357.366129 543.664271 858.851247 1397.793291 2455.747483
2025-10-19 158.696725 233.821525 349.237977 547.262129 895.678548 1519.761964 2818.082892
2025-10-26 145.461781 218.261129 332.732894 534.600267 901.825151 1586.476995 3085.239769
2025-11-02 134.737661 205.648635 319.614006 525.889846 913.322146 1664.258273 3392.760219
2025-11-09 129.492532 201.367602 319.690304 540.126865 969.252477 1838.477328 3958.617519
2025-11-16 121.717945 192.199842 310.548659 536.389658 989.455306 1942.202551 4385.451954
2025-11-23 113.546068 181.922136 298.920894 527.389470 999.270753 2028.674254 4803.441352
2025-11-30 107.815646 175.409988 293.403561 529.547768 1032.815264 2175.448500 5430.202707
2025-12-07 100.832735 166.135752 282.028185 518.766516 1036.773106 2253.507552 5888.590687
2025-12-14 95.800584 159.948512 275.785172 517.594487 1061.786993 2387.726423 6561.479757
2025-12-21 88.625543 149.375583 260.450203 495.970549 1036.945815 2390.933113 6821.803199
2025-12-28 87.126198 149.103798 264.725622 516.201010 1113.501873 2676.552531 8137.641999
2026-01-04 86.044204 149.507457 270.310246 539.886047 1202.434447 3017.937750 9815.026965
2026-01-11 82.839798 145.635969 267.046777 543.453992 1241.296218 3224.939354 11080.298497
2026-01-18 78.239891 138.768875 257.182928 530.897226 1236.301332 3299.085320 11835.814294
2026-01-25 74.364082 133.080897 249.333769 522.258821 1240.661284 3404.124633 12782.162497
2026-02-01 72.872475 132.005038 251.004234 536.378011 1309.772150 3736.218102 14968.411812